Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for SenseTime, with a target price raised to HK1.71 [3][10]. Core Insights - SenseTime has completed a strategic organizational restructuring to focus on its generative AI business, which is expected to accelerate its path to breakeven by FY26E [1]. - The revenue from the core AI Cloud and generative AI businesses grew by 256% year-over-year, accounting for 60% of total revenue in 1H24 [1]. - The restructuring is anticipated to lead to significant expense reductions, with the core business headcount reduced to below 2,000, representing less than 50% of the total group headcount prior to restructuring [1]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for FY24E, FY25E, and FY26E are RMB4,541 million, RMB5,955 million, and RMB7,498 million respectively, indicating a growth trajectory [2][13]. - Adjusted net profit is expected to improve from a loss of RMB3,615.9 million in FY24E to a profit of RMB84.1 million in FY26E [2][13]. - The adjusted net margin is forecasted to improve from -79.6% in FY24E to +1.1% in FY26E, driven by robust growth in the generative AI business and a significant decline in operating expenses [1][2]. Market Position - SenseTime is positioned as the third largest generative AI IaaS service provider in China, holding a market share of 15% as of 2H23 [1]. - The company’s total operating computing power exceeded 20,000 PetaFLOPS in August 2024, with expectations to surpass 25,000 PetaFLOPS by the end of FY24 [1]. Valuation - The target price of HK$2.00 is based on a valuation of 9.0x FY25E EV/Sales, which is at a premium to the sector average of 7.8x, reflecting SenseTime's leadership in the generative AI cloud services market [10].
商汤-W：Restructuring to focus on Gen AI business and accelerate breakeven progress