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慕思股份:点评报告:收购新加坡软体品牌、推进出海战略,关注智能床趋势

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [8] Core Views - The company plans to acquire 100% equity of MIPL (Singapore) and specific assets of PTTC (Indonesia) for approximately 2.5 billion RMB, marking a significant step in its overseas expansion strategy [3][4] - The acquisition targets a well-known local soft goods brand and its manufacturing facility, which is expected to enhance the company's market share in Southeast Asia [4] - The smart bed market in China is projected to reach 3 billion RMB in 2023, with a year-on-year growth of 14%, indicating a strong trend towards smart sleep solutions [5] - The company is expected to benefit from the growing demand for high-end mattresses and smart bedding products, with revenue forecasts for 2024-2026 showing a steady increase [6] Summary by Sections Acquisition Strategy - The company is acquiring MIPL and PTTC to accelerate its overseas strategy, with the asset valuation indicating a focus on acquiring production capabilities rather than traditional PE pricing [4] - The acquisition is expected to leverage the company's strong product development and management capabilities to enhance its presence in the Southeast Asian market [4] Market Trends - The smart bed market is experiencing significant growth, driven by product upgrades, more affordable pricing, and increased brand promotion efforts [5] - The company has launched the AI Dual Star mattress at a price of 21,800 RMB, with a range extending from 13,800 to 33,800 RMB based on configurations [5] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are 5.838 billion RMB, 6.347 billion RMB, and 6.835 billion RMB, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 4.65%, 8.71%, and 7.7% [6][11] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 830 million RMB, 903 million RMB, and 976 million RMB, with corresponding growth rates of 3.41%, 8.83%, and 8.05% [6][11]