SPD BANK(600000) 华福证券·2024-12-20 01:05Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% against the market benchmark within the next six months [5][16]. Core Insights - The major shareholder, Shanghai International Group, has increased its stake in the company, reflecting confidence in the bank's future performance. The group plans to acquire between 47 million and 94 million additional shares over the next six months, potentially raising its ownership to between 29.83% and 29.99% [1][2]. - The bank has shown a strong recovery in its financial performance, with a 25.9% year-on-year increase in net profit for the first three quarters of 2024, alongside a 9.01% growth in loans compared to the previous year [2]. - The bank's asset quality is improving, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.38% as of September 2024, down 3 basis points from June 2024, and a provision coverage ratio of 184%, up 8.5 percentage points [2]. Summary by Sections Shareholder Activity - Shanghai International Group, the largest shareholder, increased its stake by acquiring 7,575,474 shares, raising its total ownership from 29.67% to 29.70%. The group plans further acquisitions within the next six months [1]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported a revenue decline of 2.2% but a significant net profit increase of 25.9%. Loan growth accelerated to 9.01% year-on-year, with new loans totaling approximately 347.4 billion yuan, an increase of 32.65 billion yuan compared to the previous year [2][9]. Asset Quality - The bank's non-performing loan ratio improved to 1.38%, and the provision coverage ratio increased to 184%, indicating a positive trend in asset quality and risk management [2][9]. Future Projections - The report forecasts revenue growth rates of 0.01%, 4.54%, and 5.45% for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with net profit growth rates of 26.85%, 9.02%, and 9.73% for the same years [2][9].