NPC(600713) 华金证券·2024-12-25 12:23Investment Rating - The report assigns an investment rating of AA+/AA+ to the company and its convertible bond issuance [6][32]. Core Insights - The company, Nanjing Pharmaceutical, is positioned as a regional group enterprise in the pharmaceutical distribution industry, ranking sixth in the national pharmaceutical distribution sector as of 2022 [36][42]. - The company has a strong market presence in Jiangsu, Anhui, Fujian, Hubei, and parts of Yunnan, covering nearly 70 cities and demonstrating significant operational experience and brand recognition [36][42]. - The issuance of the convertible bond amounts to 1.081 billion yuan with a maturity of six years, a conversion price of 5.29 yuan, and a compensation interest rate of 6% [32][36]. - The company has shown resilience with a year-to-date stock price increase of 9.81% as of December 23, 2024, outperforming the industry index which declined by 12.37% [71]. Summary by Sections 1. Convertible Bond Analysis - The bond issuance is 10.81 billion yuan with a six-year term and an AA+/AA+ credit rating [6][32]. - The conversion price is set at 5.29 yuan, with a total dilution rate of 13.51% and a circulation dilution rate of 16.33% [32][36]. - The pure bond value is calculated at 98.99 yuan, with a yield to maturity (YTM) of 2.01%, indicating sufficient debt protection [32][36]. 2. Stock Analysis Company Overview - Nanjing Pharmaceutical focuses on the health industry, leveraging digital transformation and modern supply chain systems to enhance its pharmaceutical distribution business [36][42]. - The core business is pharmaceutical wholesale, accounting for over 94% of total revenue, with a sales increase of 6.35% in 2023 compared to 2022 [36][42]. Industry Analysis - The pharmaceutical distribution industry in China is experiencing stable growth, with a total sales scale of 27,516 billion yuan in 2022, reflecting a 6.0% year-on-year increase [41][42]. - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with major players expanding their logistics networks and capabilities [41][42]. 3. Financial Analysis - As of the first nine months of 2024, the company reported a revenue of 40.938 billion yuan, a 0.97% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 442 million yuan, up 0.36% [45][46]. - The company's asset-liability ratio stands at 76.75%, indicating a high level of leverage typical in the pharmaceutical distribution sector [47]. 4. Valuation Performance - The company's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is 11.57, lower than the industry average, suggesting potential valuation upside [49][73]. - The company’s market capitalization accounts for 79.99% of its total market value, with a significant portion of shares subject to lock-up until January 24, 2025 [71][73]. 5. Fundraising Project Analysis - The funds raised will be allocated to various projects, including digital transformation and logistics center expansion, aimed at enhancing operational efficiency and capacity [34][76].