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安凯微:专注于物联网智能硬件SoC芯片,技术平台持续迭代升级

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance [25][26] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from strong demand in the IoT chip terminal market, with projected revenue growth rates of 25%, 23%, and 20% for 2024-2026, respectively [9] - The IoT application processor chip business is anticipated to see significant growth, with revenue growth rates of 40%, 50%, and 50% for 2024-2026, driven by the expansion of smart city, smart home, and industrial IoT applications [9] - Other business segments are expected to grow at a steady rate of 20% annually from 2024 to 2026 [9] Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to increase from CNY 729.29 million in 2024 to CNY 1,178.85 million in 2026, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 27.38% [10] - Gross margins for the IoT series chips are expected to improve from 15% in 2024 to 23% in 2026, reflecting better competitive positioning and product upgrades [9][10] - The company's PS (Price-to-Sales) ratio is forecasted to be 6.31x, 4.93x, and 3.90x for 2024-2026, respectively, which is below the average of comparable companies [10][11] Industry and Company Overview - The company specializes in IoT smart hardware SoC chips, with products widely used in smart home, security, office, and industrial IoT applications [25] - It has a significant market share in the global home camera market, exceeding 20% in both 2022 and 2023 [25] - The company is advancing its IoT camera chip technology towards higher resolution (up to 8K), enhanced AI capabilities, and improved power efficiency [23] Valuation and Peer Comparison - The company's valuation metrics (PS ratio) are lower than those of peers such as Allwinner Technology, Beken Corporation, and Telink Semiconductor, indicating potential undervaluation [11] - The report highlights the company's strong R&D capabilities, with over 75% of its IP being self-developed, which supports continuous innovation and product iteration [25]