江苏神通：首次覆盖深度报告：特种阀门行业龙头，核电板块有望迎高景气

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [26]. Core Viewpoints - The company is a leading player in the nuclear valve market, expected to benefit from the normalization of nuclear power approvals, with 11 nuclear units approved in 2024, a historical high [26]. - The company maintains a high market share in the metallurgical and chemical special valve markets, which are anticipated to grow alongside the special valve industry [26]. - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2024 at 2.26 billion yuan, 2025 at 2.40 billion yuan, and 2026 at 2.55 billion yuan, with corresponding net profits of 290 million yuan, 329 million yuan, and 374 million yuan respectively [26]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company specializes in the research, development, production, and sales of new special valves, including butterfly valves and ball valves, with over 2000 specifications across 145 series [48]. - The company has a dominant position in the nuclear valve sector, securing over 90% of orders for nuclear-grade butterfly and ball valves [48]. Market Analysis - The global industrial valve market reached a size of 79 billion USD in 2022, with a projected growth to 82.1 billion USD in 2023 and 92.3 billion USD by 2026, reflecting a CAGR of 3.9% from 2021 to 2026 [1]. - The Chinese special valve market is recovering, with significant growth observed in 2022, and the low-temperature valve market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 10.26% from 2024 to 2032 [10][48]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 2.13 billion yuan in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 9.1%, with a net profit of 269 million yuan, up 18.2% [76]. - The company’s revenue is primarily derived from the nuclear power sector, energy equipment, metallurgy, and energy-saving services, with respective contributions of 32.56%, 30.58%, 17.05%, and 12.22% to total revenue in 2023 [98]. Future Outlook - The nuclear valve market is expected to grow significantly, with the market size projected to reach 6.2 billion yuan by 2024 [48]. - The company is also expanding into the hydrogen energy sector, aligning with the increasing market size for hydrogen energy applications [58].