Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods (605080) 广发证券·2025-01-01 23:30Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 30.61 CNY per share based on a 16x PE valuation for 2025 [11]. Core Views - The company has announced a restrictive stock incentive plan for 2024, indicating strong confidence in its performance over the next two years. The plan includes granting 1.2846 million shares at a price of 10.62 CNY per share, with performance targets set for net profit and revenue [2]. - The company expects significant earnings growth, with projected EPS of 1.28 CNY, 1.91 CNY, and 2.51 CNY for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [2]. - The company’s core business strategy remains focused on three main areas: insulated boxes, water sports products, and inflatable mattresses, with anticipated growth from overseas production facilities [10]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from 823 million CNY in 2023 to 1.833 billion CNY by 2026, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 35.5% [14]. - Net profit is expected to increase from 131 million CNY in 2023 to 355 million CNY in 2026, with a notable growth rate of 31.2% in 2026 [14]. - The company’s EBITDA is forecasted to rise from 186 million CNY in 2023 to 476 million CNY in 2026, indicating improving operational efficiency [14].