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古井贡酒:中期分红彰显信心,25年有望延续稳健发展态势
000596GUJING(000596) 天风证券·2025-01-02 08:30

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price indicating a potential upside of over 20% within the next six months [9][25]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve record high performance in 2024, with a focus on enhancing brand influence, sales effectiveness, and product quality [5]. - The 2024 mid-term profit distribution plan reflects confidence in sustainable development, proposing a distribution of RMB 10.00 per 10 shares, totaling RMB 528.6 million [7]. - The revenue forecasts for 2024-2026 have been slightly adjusted downwards due to overall weak demand, with projected revenues of RMB 239.2 billion, RMB 269.5 billion, and RMB 299.7 billion respectively [8]. Financial Summary - The company’s total revenue for 2022 was RMB 16,713.23 million, with a growth rate of 25.95%, and is projected to reach RMB 29,966.77 million by 2026, with a growth rate of 11.21% [19]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2022 was RMB 3,143.14 million, expected to grow to RMB 7,353.45 million by 2026, reflecting a growth rate of 13.92% [19]. - The company’s PE ratio is projected to decrease from 29.14 in 2022 to 12.46 by 2026, indicating improved valuation over time [19]. Operational Metrics - The company reported an asset-liability ratio of 34.23% and a current price of RMB 173.3 [9]. - The company’s cash flow from operating activities is projected to increase significantly from RMB 4,496.21 million in 2023 to RMB 6,416.66 million in 2026 [22]. - The company aims to enhance its operational capabilities by focusing on customer-centric strategies and expanding its product and talent lines [16].