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闻泰科技:Valuation to improve on ODM business spin-off
600745WINGTECH(600745) 招银国际·2025-01-03 01:08

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for the company, with a target price of RMB52.00, indicating a potential upside of 40.0% from the current price of RMB37.15 [4][19]. Core Insights - The company is undergoing a strategic transformation by selling its nine wholly-owned ODM subsidiaries to Luxshare Limited, which is expected to improve its valuation and focus on its high-margin semiconductor business, Nexperia [19]. - The ODM segment has been a financial burden, contributing approximately 79% of total revenue but incurring a significant net loss of RMB1.2 billion in 9M24 [19]. - The semiconductor segment has shown strong performance, generating RMB10.9 billion in sales with a gross profit margin of 37%, significantly outperforming the overall company margins [19]. Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from RMB61.2 billion in FY23 to RMB80.2 billion in FY25, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 18.1% in FY24 and 10.9% in FY25 [8][13]. - The net profit is expected to recover from a loss of RMB911.4 million in FY24 to RMB2.6 billion in FY25, with a significant growth rate of 186.4% [8][19]. - The company's P/E ratio is forecasted to decrease from 50.7x in FY24 to 17.7x in FY25, indicating an attractive valuation compared to domestic peers [8][19]. Profitability Metrics - The gross profit margin is expected to improve from 10.4% in FY24 to 13.2% in FY25, while the operating profit margin is projected to rise from 2.3% to 5.2% in the same period [8][27]. - The return on equity (ROE) is anticipated to increase from 6.6% in FY24 to 8.9% in FY25, reflecting improved profitability [3][19]. Market Position - The company currently holds a market capitalization of RMB46.17 billion, with significant shareholding from major investors such as Wentianxia Tech Group and Wuxi Guolian Inte Cir Inv [9][19]. - The stock has shown a 33.0% increase over the past six months, indicating positive market sentiment [9].