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长川科技:内生外延双轮驱动,测试设备布局全面
300604Cctech(300604) 广发证券·2025-01-07 08:37

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a current price of 38.18 CNY and a target value of 51.98 CNY [3] Core Insights - The company is experiencing rapid growth driven by both organic and external expansion in the semiconductor testing equipment sector, with a comprehensive product layout including testers, sorters, and probe stations [10][15] - The company has established a strong competitive advantage in testing machines, with significant revenue growth and high gross margins [10][26] - The semiconductor testing equipment market is expected to grow, with increasing demand for domestic alternatives to imported products [40][46] Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from 17.75 billion CNY in 2023 to 35.34 billion CNY in 2024, with a significant increase in net profit from 0.45 billion CNY to 5.52 billion CNY [2][10] - The company’s EBITDA is expected to rise from 61 million CNY in 2023 to 766 million CNY in 2024, indicating strong operational performance [2] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to increase from 0.07 CNY in 2023 to 0.88 CNY in 2024 [2] Market Position and Strategy - The company has a well-established product matrix and has made strategic acquisitions to enhance its technological capabilities and market reach [10][62] - The acquisition of STI has strengthened the company's position in the AOI detection equipment market, facilitating entry into international semiconductor supply chains [62][64] - The company is actively expanding its product offerings, particularly in high-end SoC testing machines, to capture a larger share of the growing market [56][60] Product and Revenue Breakdown - The company’s main products include testing machines, sorters, and automation equipment, with testing machines accounting for a growing share of revenue [10][32] - The revenue from testing machines is expected to grow significantly, with a projected increase of 203.3% in 2024 [66] - The gross margin for testing machines is anticipated to remain stable at around 65% [66]