2026 年 3 月 27 日 刘梦麟 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340521070002 电话：0769-22110619 邮箱： liumenglin@dgzq.com.cn 周 报 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFind 证 超配（维持） 半导体行业双周报（2026/03/13-2026/03/26） 行 业 存储价格持续上涨压制消费类电子需求 投资要点： 本报告的风险等级为中高风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 半导体行业 半导体行业指数近两周涨跌幅：截至2026年3月26日，申万半导体行业指 数近两周（2026/03/13-2026/03/26）累计下跌5.51%，跑输沪深300指 数1.03个百分点；2026年以来申万半导体行业指数累计上涨2.17%，跑 赢沪深300指数5.46个百分点。 半导体行业（申万）指数走势 行业新闻与公司动态：（1）多家手机厂商宣布调价；（2）IDC：2025年 中国智能眼镜市场出货量246万台，同比增长87.1%；（3）英伟达CEO黄 仁勋：AGI时代已经到来，"龙虾开公司"不 ...

证券代码：300604 证券简称：长川科技 公告编号：2026-011 杭州长川科技股份有限公司 关于 2024 年限制性股票激励计划首次授予部分 第一个归属期第二批次归属结果暨股份上市的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 重要内容提示： 杭州长川科技股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2025 年 9 月 8 日召开第 四届董事会第十二次会议和第四届监事会第十二次会议，审议通过了《关于公司 2024 年限制性股票激励计划首次授予部分第一个归属期符合归属条件的议案》， 为避免 1 名高级管理人员触及短线交易行为，公司对 2024 年限制性股票激励计 划（以下简称"2024 年激励计划"）第一个归属期满足归属条件的 485 名激励 对象共计 261.436 万股第二类限制性股票分两批次办理归属登记事宜，其中第一 批次已于 2025 年 11 月 10 日办理完成归属登记手续并上市流通，剩余第二批次 1 名激励对象的可归属数量 1.60 万股，待满足条件后办理归属登记手续。 截至本公告披露日，关于 2024 年激励计划涉及的第二类限制性股票第一个 归属 ...

[Table_Page] 跟踪分析|专用设备 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 商业航天行业跟踪 马斯克官宣 Terafab 项目，太空算力商业模式有望闭环 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： | [Table_Grade] 行业评级 | 买入 | | --- | --- | | 前次评级 | 买入 | | 报告日期 | 2026-03-22 | [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 -20% -6% 8% 22% 36% 50% 03/25 06/25 08/25 10/25 01/26 03/26 专用设备 沪深300 | [分析师： Table_Author]孙柏阳 | | | --- | --- | | | SAC 执证号：S0260520080002 | | | 021-38003680 | | | sunboyang@gf.com.cn | | 分析师： | 汪家豪 | | | SAC 执证号：S0260522120004 | | | SFC CE No. BWR740 | | | 021-38003792 | | | wangjiahao@gf.com.cn | | 分 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the mechanical equipment industry, with a focus on AI and mechanical equipment investment opportunities [1]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the potential of AI-driven mechanical equipment, particularly in the robotics sector, where companies like Yushu Technology are showing significant growth in revenue and profitability [1]. - The GTC conference highlighted the increasing demand for AI computing power, which is expected to drive growth in PCB and liquid cooling segments [2]. - The solar equipment sector is poised to benefit from Tesla's procurement of photovoltaic equipment and Blue Origin's satellite launch plans, indicating strong demand for leading equipment manufacturers [3]. Summary by Sections Recommended Companies - The report suggests a focus on companies such as Northern Huachuang, Sany Heavy Industry, and Zhongwei Company, among others, across various segments including robotics, AI devices, and solar equipment [1][2][3]. Industry Trends - The robotics industry is experiencing a significant rebound, with Yushu Technology's IPO materials indicating a revenue increase of 335.36% and a net profit increase of 674.29% for 2025 [1]. - The AI device sector is seeing advancements in architecture and cooling solutions, with Nvidia's LPU architecture expected to enhance performance and drive PCB demand [2]. - The solar equipment market is benefiting from increased demand driven by major companies like Tesla and innovative projects like Blue Origin's satellite constellation [3]. Market Dynamics - The oil service equipment sector is facing short-term adjustments due to geopolitical tensions, but long-term demand is expected to rise as oil prices remain high and reconstruction efforts in conflict areas increase [7]. - The mechanical equipment industry is projected to see significant growth opportunities due to China's increasing foreign investments and the global demand for advanced machinery [37].

获得中国证券监督管理委员会同意注册批复的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有 虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 杭州长川科技股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于近日收到中国证券监督 管理委员会出具的《关于同意杭州长川科技股份有限公司向特定对象发行股票注 册的批复》（证监许可〔2026〕393 号），批复的主要内容如下： 一、 同意你公司向特定对象发行股票的注册申请。 二、 你公司本次发行应严格按照报送深圳证券交易所的申报文件和发行方 案实施。 证券代码：300604 证券简称：长川科技 公告编号：2026-010 杭州长川科技股份有限公司 关于向特定对象发行股票申请 四、 自同意注册之日起至本次发行结束前，你公司如发生重大事项，应及 时报告深圳证券交易所并按有关规定处理。 三、 本批复自同意注册之日起 12 个月内有效。 公司董事会将根据上述文件和相关法律法规的要求及公司股东会的授权，在 规定期限内办理本次向特定对象发行股票相关事宜，并及时履行信息披露义务。 敬请广大投资者注意投资风险。 特此公告。 杭州长川科技股份有限公司 董 事 会 2026 年 3 月 10 日 ...

杭州长川科技股份有限公司 Hangzhou Changchuan Technology Co.,Ltd. （注册地址：浙江省杭州市滨江区聚才路 410 号） 2025 年度向特定对象发行股票并在创业板 上市募集说明书 （注册稿） 保荐机构（主承销商） 1-1-1 深圳市前海深港合作区南山街道桂湾五路 128 号前海深港基金小镇 B7 栋 401 二〇二六年二月 证券简称：长川科技 证券代码：300604 杭州长川科技股份有限公司 2025 年度向特定对象发行股票募集说明书 声 明 本公司及全体董事、审计委员会委员、高级管理人员承诺本募集说明书及其 他信息披露资料不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏，并对其真实性、 准确性及完整性承担相应的法律责任。 本公司负责人、主管会计工作负责人及会计机构负责人保证本募集说明书中 财务会计资料真实、完整。 中国证券监督管理委员会、深圳证券交易所对本次发行所作的任何决定或意 见，均不表明其对申请文件及所披露信息的真实性、准确性、完整性做出保证， 也不表明其对本公司的盈利能力、投资价值或者对投资者的收益做出实质性判断 或保证。任何与之相反的声明均属虚假不实陈述。 根据《证券 ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·半导体 长川科技（300604） 2026 年 03 月 06 日 盛合晶微核心设备供应商、看好去日化公司 份额持续提升 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 1,775 | 3,642 | 6,697 | 11,409 | 14,333 | | 同比（%） | (31.11) | 105.15 | 83.91 | 70.36 | 25.62 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 45.16 | 458.43 | 1,253.18 | 2,296.78 | 2,936.91 | | 同比（%） | (90.21) | 915.14 | 173.36 | 83.28 | 27.87 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.07 | 0.72 | 1.98 | 3.62 | 4.63 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 1,813.60 | 178.65 | 65.36 | 3 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company is expected to benefit significantly from the domestic semiconductor equipment de-Japanization and increased capital expenditures from packaging and testing factories [7] - The company is positioned as a leader in SoC testing machines, with a projected increase in revenue and profit due to the rising demand for AI chip testing [7] - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been raised to 1.3 billion, 2.3 billion, and 2.9 billion RMB respectively, reflecting strong growth potential [7] Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to grow from 1,775 million RMB in 2023 to 14,333 million RMB by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 25.62% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 45.16 million RMB in 2023 to 2,936.91 million RMB in 2027, indicating a significant recovery and growth trajectory [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.07 RMB in 2023 to 4.63 RMB in 2027, showcasing the company's improving profitability [1] Market Data - The closing price of the company's stock is 130.85 RMB, with a market capitalization of approximately 83,011.58 million RMB [5] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 1,813.60 in 2023 to 27.89 by 2027, indicating a more attractive valuation as earnings grow [1][8] - The company has a net asset value per share of 6.82 RMB and a debt-to-asset ratio of 51.23% [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is positioned as a leading supplier of core equipment for semiconductor testing, with a positive outlook on its market share growth [1] - The demand for SoC testing machines is expected to surge due to the increasing complexity and power requirements of AI chips, which will drive significant growth in this segment [7] - The ongoing geopolitical tensions between China and Japan are likely to benefit domestic equipment manufacturers, including the company, as there is a shift towards domestic alternatives [7] - The IPO of Shenghe Jingwei is anticipated to create opportunities in the packaging and testing equipment sector, further benefiting the company [7] - The company's net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised upwards, reflecting its strong market position and expected growth in the semiconductor equipment sector [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 1,775 million RMB in 2023 to 14,333 million RMB by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 70.36% from 2024 to 2027 [1][8] - Net profit is expected to increase from 45.16 million RMB in 2023 to 2,936.91 million RMB by 2027, indicating a significant recovery and growth trajectory [1][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.07 RMB in 2023 to 4.63 RMB by 2027, reflecting strong profitability improvements [1][8] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 1,813.60 in 2023 to 27.89 by 2027, indicating a more attractive valuation as earnings grow [1][8]

Core Viewpoint - The explosive growth of AI technology is driving a structural transformation in the storage chip market, particularly in DRAM and HBM, which are now focal points for testing processes and supply chain dynamics [1]. Group 1: DRAM/HBM Market Overview - DRAM is a general-purpose storage chip widely used in consumer electronics and servers, while HBM is designed for high-performance scenarios, becoming a "must-have component" for AI servers. The demand for both is significantly increasing due to AI [2]. - The global AI server DRAM market is expected to grow by over 80% year-on-year in 2024, driven by higher capacity and performance requirements [2]. - The HBM market is transitioning from niche to mainstream, with expectations to exceed $20 billion by 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 100% [2]. - The market is characterized by a dual structure of "high-end AI and mid-range consumer" demand [2]. Group 2: Testing Requirements and Equipment - Testing requirements include wafer testing (CP) to detect basic electrical performance and early reliability testing, as well as finished product testing (FT) to check for packaging defects [6][9]. - Key testing equipment includes: - ATE testing equipment for core production testing, ensuring electrical performance compliance [7]. - TDBI/RDBI aging equipment for reliability screening and repair during testing [7]. - Handler and Prober for automated testing processes [7]. - SLT testing equipment for system-level screening [7]. Group 3: Testing Equipment Suppliers - The market for storage chip testing equipment is dominated by major players, with Advantest leading in DRAM/HBM testing equipment, holding over 50% market share [12]. - Teradyne is a key supplier for server storage chip testing, with approximately 30% market share [12]. - Tokyo Electron (TEL) holds a 37% market share in probe testing equipment, crucial for semiconductor testing [13]. - Domestic suppliers like Changchuan Technology and Yuexin Technology are making significant strides in the market, with Changchuan's products gaining recognition among top packaging testing companies [14][15]. Group 4: Domestic Supply Chain Situation - The domestic storage chip testing equipment supply chain is still largely reliant on imported equipment, with over 60% of ATE testing equipment being imported [18]. - Domestic companies are gradually increasing their market share, with notable advancements in specific testing segments [18].