ORG Technology(002701) Huafu Securities·2025-01-09 08:22Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% against the market benchmark within the next six months [18]. Core Views - The company has successfully completed the acquisition of a controlling stake in COFCO Packaging, which is expected to enhance its market share in the two-piece can industry to nearly 50%, thereby strengthening its market influence [4][5]. - The integration of COFCO Packaging is anticipated to yield significant synergies across various aspects such as customer base, distribution channels, and product structure, leading to improved operational efficiency and expanded international market presence [4][5]. - The report highlights a turning point in the industry landscape, with expectations for a rapid recovery in profitability as the leading companies gain market share and enhance pricing power [5]. Financial Projections - Revenue growth rates for the company are projected at 7.8%, 7.5%, and 8.2% for the years 2024 to 2026, respectively, with corresponding net profit growth rates of 19%, 16%, and 15% [6]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 0.36 yuan, 0.42 yuan, and 0.48 yuan for the years 2024 to 2026 [6]. - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13 times for the year 2025 [6]. Industry Outlook - The report notes that the domestic metal packaging industry is expected to see a significant improvement in profitability, with gross margins projected to gradually recover to 12-15%, an increase of 6-9 percentage points from current levels [5]. - The report draws comparisons with North American metal packaging leaders, suggesting that the domestic industry has substantial room for growth in customer structure and international expansion [5].