SPD BANK(600000) 华福证券·2025-01-17 02:35Investment Rating - Maintain "Buy" rating [6] Core Views - SPD Bank's 2024 performance shows high profit growth with a 23.3% YoY increase in net profit attributable to the parent company and a 30.47% YoY increase in non-GAAP net profit [2] - The bank's asset quality has improved quarter by quarter, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.36% at the end of 2024, down 2bp from Q3, and a provision coverage ratio of 187%, up 3.1pct from Q3 [3] - Asset scale expanded steadily, with a 5.1% YoY increase in total assets at the end of 2024, and a 9.01% YoY increase in loans by the end of Q3 2024 [4] - Major shareholder Shanghai International Group plans to increase its stake, demonstrating confidence in the bank's long-term development [5] Financial Performance - 2024 revenue growth was -1.55%, but adjusted for one-time factors, it increased by 0.92% YoY [2] - Q4 2024 revenue growth turned positive, increasing by 0.71% compared to Q3 [2] - Weighted average ROE for 2024 was 6.28%, up 1.07pct YoY [2] - Forecasted revenue growth for 2024-2026 is -1.5%, 4.6%, and 5.5% respectively, with net profit growth of 23.3%, 8.3%, and 10.0% [6] Asset Quality and Risk Management - Non-performing loan ratio decreased to 1.36% at the end of 2024, down 2bp from Q3 [3] - Provision coverage ratio increased to 187% at the end of 2024, up 3.1pct from Q3 [3] - Credit cost improvement is expected to continue releasing profit elasticity [3] Strategic Initiatives and Market Position - SPD Bank has leveraged its traditional corporate business strengths and focused on "five major sectors" [4] - The bank's new leadership has been driving the expansion of the balance sheet since Q4 2023 [4] - The bank's loan growth in Q3 2024 was 9.01%, with new loans in the first three quarters reaching approximately 347.4 billion yuan, an increase of 326.5 billion yuan YoY [4] Shareholder Confidence - Shanghai International Group, the largest shareholder, plans to increase its stake in SPD Bank A-shares, signaling strong support for the bank's future [5] Industry Outlook - The current valuation, positioning, and performance of joint-stock banks are at a low point, with risks being gradually cleared and mitigated [6] - Positive factors such as potential economic, real estate, and consumption recovery are expected to provide opportunities for joint-stock banks in the coming year [6]