海泰新光：深耕内镜上游，整机业务打开成长空间

Investment Rating - Buy (首次覆盖) [5] Core Views - The company is a leading domestic supplier of upstream components for endoscopes, with mature products such as high-definition fluorescence endoscopes, camera adapter lenses, and fluorescence light source modules It has a deep partnership with the global endoscope manufacturer Stryker [6][9] - The company's core business is expected to normalize as overseas inventory issues are gradually resolved, with procurement demand recovering [9][32] - The company is expected to achieve rapid revenue growth driven by the global promotion of Stryker's products [6][29] Financial Forecasts - Revenue for 2024-2026 is projected to be 432 million, 586 million, and 737 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of -8 20%, 35 67%, and 25 75% respectively [5][7] - Net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024-2026 is expected to be 115 million, 207 million, and 271 million yuan, with growth rates of -20 83%, 79 50%, and 30 84% respectively [5][7] - The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 40x, 23x, and 17x for 2024-2026 [5][7] Industry Analysis - The global hard endoscope market is projected to grow from 4 6 billion USD in 2015 to 7 2 billion USD in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4 9% during 2019-2024 [26] - The fluorescence endoscope market is growing rapidly, with a CAGR of 24 3% during 2019-2024, and is expected to reach 3 9 billion USD in 2024 [26] - The domestic hard endoscope market is expected to reach 11 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 11 0% during 2019-2024, and fluorescence endoscopes are in a rapid adoption phase [26] Company Overview - The company was founded in 2003 and focuses on medical endoscope instruments and optical products It has formed four major technology platforms: optical technology, precision mechanical technology, digital imaging technology, and electronic technology [14] - The company has a stable partnership with global leading medical device manufacturers and continues to expand the application of optical components in fields such as industrial, laser, and biometrics [14] - The company's gross margin has steadily increased from 59 03% in 2017 to 65 74% in the first three quarters of 2024, driven by the optimization of product structure and increased sales of high-margin products [21] Key Assumptions - Medical devices: Overseas inventory issues are expected to be resolved, and new products will bring incremental business The revenue growth rates for 2024-2026 are projected to be -8 00%, 40 00%, and 25 00% respectively [8] - Optical devices: The company will continue to expand into new fields such as in vitro diagnostics and biometrics, with revenue growth rates for 2024-2026 projected to be -20 00%, 10 00%, and 10 00% respectively [8]