Shenergy(SH:600642) Huafu Securities·2025-01-19 06:10Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Hold" [4] Core Views - The company reported a 6.4% year-on-year increase in controlled power generation for 2024, reaching 58.623 billion kWh [2][3] - The average on-grid electricity price for 2024 is projected to be 0.511 yuan per kWh, reflecting a 2.3% decrease compared to the previous year [3] - The company’s coal-fired power generation increased by 3.5% year-on-year to 41.605 billion kWh, while natural gas generation saw a significant rise of 17.6% to 8.442 billion kWh [3] - The growth in electricity demand in Shanghai, which increased by 7.78% year-on-year, has positively impacted the company's output levels [3] - The company’s renewable energy generation, including wind and solar, has also shown significant growth, with wind power generation increasing by 4.3% and solar generation rising by 24.9% year-on-year [4] Financial Forecasts and Investment Recommendations - Revenue projections for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are adjusted to 29.9 billion, 30.145 billion, and 31.465 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 3.874 billion, 3.897 billion, and 3.979 billion yuan [4] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the next three years are estimated at 11.1, 11.0, and 10.8 times [4] - The company is expected to maintain a stable financial performance with a slight increase in net profit over the forecast period [4]