Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a current price of 5.68 HKD and a fair value of 6.71 HKD [7]. Core Insights - The main brand of the company is experiencing steady growth, with a healthy recovery in inventory levels. In Q4 2024, the main brand's total channel revenue is expected to grow at a high single-digit percentage year-on-year, with retail discounts improving to a level of 70-75% [7]. - The subsidiary brand, Saucony, continues to show strong growth momentum, with total channel revenue in Q4 2024 expected to increase by approximately 50%, surpassing the previous guidance of over 60% for the entire year [7]. - The company forecasts net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024-2026 to be 1.26 billion, 1.39 billion, and 1.51 billion CNY respectively, and maintains a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12 for 2025, leading to a fair value estimate of 6.71 HKD per share [7]. Financial Summary - The company's main revenue for 2023 is reported at 12,930 million CNY, with a growth rate of 29.1%. The EBITDA is projected to be 1,515 million CNY, and the net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 922 million CNY, reflecting a growth rate of 1.5% [6]. - For the years 2024 to 2026, the main revenue is expected to be 14,396 million CNY, 15,077 million CNY, and 16,462 million CNY respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 0.4%, 4.7%, and 9.2% [6]. - The report indicates that the company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 11.0%, 11.6%, 13.1%, 13.5%, and 13.8% from 2022 to 2026 [6].
特步国际：24Q4主品牌稳健发展，索康尼增长亮眼