Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Sinopec Engineering Group (SEG) with a target price of 8 HKD, based on a 12x PE for 2025 [5]. Core Insights - Sinopec Engineering Group is a leading energy and chemical engineering company in China, providing comprehensive solutions across various sectors including oil refining, petrochemicals, and clean energy [12][16]. - The company has demonstrated stable profitability with a gross margin around 10% and a net margin of approximately 5% from 2019 to 2023, alongside a consistent dividend payout ratio of 65% [16][22]. - The domestic market is experiencing a trend of upgrading refining processes and a surge in coal chemical projects, with significant new contracts signed in 2024 [3][4]. - Internationally, SEG is focusing on the MENA region, where the value of awarded oil and gas projects has reached unprecedented levels, contributing to a 32.7% growth in overseas orders [4]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Sinopec Engineering Group, a subsidiary of Sinopec, is a prominent player in the energy and chemical engineering sector, listed in Hong Kong since May 2013 [12]. - The company operates 12 subsidiaries, providing a wide range of services including engineering consulting, project management, and construction [12][13]. Industry Landscape - The energy and chemical engineering industry has high barriers to entry due to complex processes, specialized requirements, and long project cycles [2][27]. - SEG's main competitors in the domestic market include China Petroleum Engineering Construction and China Chemical Engineering [29]. Domestic Market Trends - The refining sector in China is undergoing structural adjustments, with major projects from both Sinopec and PetroChina aimed at upgrading facilities [3]. - The coal chemical industry is poised for growth, with a projected 295 projects by January 2025, significantly increasing SEG's order intake [3]. International Market Focus - The MENA region is becoming a focal point for SEG, with a record contract value of 94 billion USD for oil and gas projects expected in the upcoming year [4]. - The company has seen a substantial increase in overseas orders, continuing the growth trend established in 2023 [4]. Financial Performance and Valuation - SEG's revenue has remained stable above 50 billion RMB, with a reported revenue of 56.26 billion RMB in 2023, marking a 6% year-on-year increase [16]. - The forecasted net profit for 2024, 2025, and 2026 is 2.525 billion, 2.757 billion, and 2.943 billion RMB respectively, with an EPS of 0.57, 0.63, and 0.67 RMB [5].
中石化炼化工程：国内领先能化工程公司，海外订单+煤化工放量驱动增长