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嘉益股份:成长势能延续,产能有序扩张

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [5][17]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.9-2.1 billion in Q4 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 23%-35%. The net profit for the entire year is projected to be 7.3-7.5 billion, reflecting a growth of 54%-58% [1]. - The company's stable growth is attributed to the improving industry conditions, increasing customer orders, and a focus on enhancing service quality and operational efficiency [1]. - The issuance of convertible bonds will fund the expansion of production capacity, particularly in Vietnam, which is expected to enhance supply chain security and meet customer demands more effectively [3]. Financial Projections - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 1,259.54 million in 2022 to 4,002.21 million by 2026, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 18.82% [4][12]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 271.91 million in 2022 to 1,081.13 million by 2026, indicating a significant growth trajectory [4][12]. - The report anticipates an EBITDA of 900.56 million in 2024, with a steady increase to 1,299.09 million by 2026 [4][12]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is positioned in the light industry manufacturing/home goods sector, focusing on stainless steel vacuum insulated cups, which are experiencing high demand [5]. - The company is enhancing its collaboration with major clients, which is expected to accelerate growth and improve market penetration [4][1]. - The introduction of new product lines and collaborations, such as the Stanley brand, is anticipated to broaden the customer base and enhance brand visibility [2].