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好未来:乐观看待后续表现
TALTAL(TAL) 天风证券·2025-01-26 10:30

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for TAL Education Group, expecting a relative return of over 20% within the next six months [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a net income of 610millionforFY25Q3,representingayearoveryearincreaseof62.4610 million for FY25Q3, representing a year-over-year increase of 62.4%. The operating profit (OP) was -17 million, up 45.8%, while the Non-GAAP OP was -2million,reflectingan81.12 million, reflecting an 81.1% increase. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 23 million, marking a turnaround from losses, and the Non-GAAP net profit was 39million,alsoshowingarecovery[1].TALsAIlearningdevicescontinuetobeafastgrowingsegment,receivingpositiveuserfeedbackandmarketrecognition.Thecompanyaimstoenhanceitscapabilitiesinlearningservicesandcontentsolutions[1].Theintroductionofhighqualityonlineandofflinelearningprograms,alongwiththenewlearningdeviceXbook,hasbeenpivotalindrivingbusinessgrowth.TheXbookisdesignedtomeetpracticallearningneedsandhasreceivedawardsforitstechnologicalinnovation[2].Theexpansionofthelearningdeviceproductline,includingupgradestoXPATandthelaunchofXbook,aimstocatertopersonalizedlearningneeds.TheXbookfeaturesAIdrivenfunctionalitiessuchassmartscoringandpersonalizedrecommendations[3].ThecompanyisdeepeningitsinvestmentintheK12educationsectorbyenhancingteachertrainingsystemsandtechnologydrivensolutions,whichimprovesproductqualityandlocalservice.Theuseoftabletsinsmallclasssettingspromotespersonalizedteachingandstudentengagement[4].BasedontheperformancefromFY25Q1toQ3,therevenueforecastshavebeenraised,withexpectedrevenuesof39 million, also showing a recovery [1]. - TAL's AI learning devices continue to be a fast-growing segment, receiving positive user feedback and market recognition. The company aims to enhance its capabilities in learning services and content solutions [1]. - The introduction of high-quality online and offline learning programs, along with the new learning device Xbook, has been pivotal in driving business growth. The Xbook is designed to meet practical learning needs and has received awards for its technological innovation [2]. - The expansion of the learning device product line, including upgrades to XPAT and the launch of Xbook, aims to cater to personalized learning needs. The Xbook features AI-driven functionalities such as smart scoring and personalized recommendations [3]. - The company is deepening its investment in the K-12 education sector by enhancing teacher training systems and technology-driven solutions, which improves product quality and local service. The use of tablets in small class settings promotes personalized teaching and student engagement [4]. - Based on the performance from FY25Q1 to Q3, the revenue forecasts have been raised, with expected revenues of 2.4 billion, 3.8billion,and3.8 billion, and 6.1 billion for FY25-27, respectively. Non-GAAP net profits are projected to be 210million,210 million, 320 million, and $480 million for the same periods [5].