Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [5] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from the implementation of the "old-for-new" consumption policy, which is anticipated to boost demand in the home furnishing industry [4] - The company has launched the "Whole House 4.0" strategy to enhance its one-stop customization capabilities across all product categories, aiming to improve operational efficiency and reduce costs [4] - The company is projected to experience a decline in revenue in 2024 due to the real estate cycle and intensified market competition, but net profit is expected to grow [2][3] Financial Summary - The company forecasts 2024 revenue between CNY 10.50 billion and CNY 11.67 billion, representing a year-on-year change of -10% to 0% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be between CNY 1.32 billion and CNY 1.45 billion, reflecting a growth of 5% to 15% compared to the previous year [2] - The company anticipates a significant impact from non-recurring gains and losses on net profit, with an estimated increase of CNY 229 million to CNY 280 million due to the sale of equity in a subsidiary [3] - For the fourth quarter of 2024, revenue is projected to be between CNY 2.84 billion and CNY 4.01 billion, with a year-on-year change ranging from a decline of 17.95% to an increase of 15.73% [3] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024-2026 are adjusted to CNY 1.39, CNY 1.46, and CNY 1.57, respectively, with a 2025 price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 11 times, which is below the average of comparable companies [5]
索菲亚:事件点评:持续增强整家、整装能力,受益以旧换新可期