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继峰股份:2024年业绩预告点评:业绩拐点确立,良性循环在即
603997NBJF(603997) 中泰证券·2025-01-27 12:00

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative performance increase of over 15% against the benchmark index within the next 6 to 12 months [10]. Core Views - The company is expected to experience a significant turning point in performance due to the divestiture of loss-making assets and the realization of profitability in its seating business. The report highlights that the seating business has reached a scale-up phase, with substantial revenue growth anticipated [4][6]. - The divestiture of TMD, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Grammer in North America, is expected to alleviate financial burdens and improve overall profitability. The report notes that TMD incurred significant losses from 2021 to 2023, and its removal from the company's portfolio will lead to a notable recovery in Grammer's performance [4][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 17,967 million in 2022, with projections of 21,571 million for 2023, and further growth to 23,407 million in 2024, 25,059 million in 2025, and 29,550 million in 2026. The year-on-year growth rates are 7% for 2022, 20% for 2023, and expected 9% for 2024 [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be -1,417 million in 2022, turning to a profit of 204 million in 2023, but expected to decline to -544 million in 2024 before recovering to 676 million in 2025 and 1,084 million in 2026 [2]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be -1.12 in 2022, 0.16 in 2023, -0.43 in 2024, 0.53 in 2025, and 0.86 in 2026 [2]. Business Segments - The seating business has achieved a significant milestone, with revenues of 6.55 billion in 2023 and nearly 9 billion in the first half of 2024. The second quarter of 2024 marked the first quarter of profitability for this segment, indicating a robust growth trajectory [4]. - The report emphasizes the company's strong market position in the domestic and global automotive seating market, with a projected domestic market size of 1,500 billion by 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17% [6]. Market Outlook - The report suggests that the company is well-positioned to lead the domestic automotive seating market, with a comprehensive order book and the ability to respond quickly to market demands. The successful acquisition of overseas orders, including from BMW, is seen as a step towards global market penetration [6].