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华利集团:VF、Puma先后发布财报,客户结构优势显现

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [5]. Core Views - The report highlights the strong performance of VF and Puma, indicating a favorable customer structure for the company. VF's inventory has decreased significantly, and it has provided guidance for a slight revenue decline in FY25Q4, while also increasing its free cash flow guidance [1][2]. - The company expresses confidence in its 2025 performance, supported by a diverse customer base primarily consisting of listed companies. Most clients are expected to maintain growth, and the company is actively expanding its client portfolio [4][5]. - The report emphasizes the manageable tariff risks due to the company's production facilities located in Vietnam and the planned expansion in Indonesia, which allows for flexibility in meeting customer demands across various global markets [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For FY25Q3, the company reported revenue of $2.8 billion, a year-over-year increase of 2% (fixed exchange rate), with a notable growth in the North Face brand and a strong holiday season performance [1]. - The company anticipates EPS for 2024, 2025, and 2026 to be 3.33, 3.80, and 4.24 CNY respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 22x, 20x, and 18x [9]. Market Position - The company is positioned favorably within the textile and apparel industry, with a focus on maintaining a competitive edge in supply chain orders due to its strong relationships with major clients [3][4]. - The report notes that the global sports giants are experiencing a stable cyclical attribute, which bodes well for the company's future contributions to supply chain orders [3]. Operational Strategy - The company is implementing a "next level" cost efficiency plan to optimize costs and improve operations, particularly in response to profit margins not meeting expectations [2]. - The report indicates that the company is actively seeking to expand its customer base and deepen collaborations with new clients, which is crucial for sustained revenue growth [4].