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匠心家居深度:盈科而进,臻于匠心
301061MOTO(301061) 长江证券·2025-02-05 00:09

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company [9]. Core Insights - The report highlights the company's rapid market share growth in the mid-to-high-end functional sofa market in the U.S., driven by manufacturing cost advantages, efficiency, and continuous investment in design innovation [2][4]. - The exploration of the store-in-store model is a key step in the company's brand overseas strategy, which is expected to enhance brand influence and boost product sales [2][4]. - The company is positioned as a leading exporter in the home furnishings sector, with strong product capabilities driving market share growth, and the anticipated U.S. interest rate cuts may further stimulate industry demand [2][4]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company focuses on smart electric sofas, which accounted for 74% of revenue in 2023, followed by smart electric beds and smart furniture accessories at 15% and 10%, respectively [4][15]. - The company has strategically strengthened its retail customer base, with retail customers accounting for 81.8% of U.S. furniture customers in the first three quarters of 2024 [4][24]. Financial Performance - In 2023, the company reported revenues and net profits of 1.92 billion and 410 million yuan, respectively, with a CAGR of 14% and 26% since 2017 [5][27]. - The company has seen steady improvement in profitability, with the net profit margin increasing from approximately 16.2% to 20.5% from 2021 to 2023, and is expected to continue this upward trend in 2024 [5][30]. Product and Manufacturing Advantages - The company emphasizes high-end positioning, superior design, and manufacturing advantages, which allow it to compete effectively in the U.S. market [6][40]. - The company has a significant cost advantage in manufacturing, supported by vertical supply chain integration and efficiency improvements [6][40]. Brand Expansion and Store-in-Store Model - The store-in-store model is crucial for brand building and enhancing sales performance, with over 150 stores established in the U.S. by the third quarter of 2024, aiming for 500 by early 2025 [7][85]. - The company has successfully leveraged its strong product capabilities to gain recognition from retail customers, which supports the ongoing exploration of the store-in-store model [7][85]. Market Outlook and Profit Forecast - The U.S. functional sofa market is estimated to be worth approximately 9.8 billion USD, with the company holding a market share of about 4%, indicating significant growth potential compared to industry leaders [8][88]. - The company is projected to achieve net profits of approximately 610 million and 730 million yuan in 2024 and 2025, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 22.2 and 18.5 [8][104].