QILU BANK(601665) 中泰证券·2025-02-06 03:10Investment Rating - The investment rating for Qilu Bank is "Accumulate" (maintained) [2] Core Views - Qilu Bank's revenue and net profit growth rates are marginally increasing, with 2024 revenue expected to grow by 4.6% year-on-year and net profit by 17.8% year-on-year [3][7] - The bank is experiencing robust asset and liability growth, with total assets increasing by 14% year-on-year and total loans by 12.3% year-on-year, indicating a strong expansion [5][10] - Asset quality is improving, as evidenced by a decrease in the non-performing loan (NPL) ratio to 1.19% and an increase in the provision coverage ratio to 322.38% [11][12] - The bank's OCI account has floating profits, which are expected to support revenue in 2025, with an estimated 23% of 2024 revenue coming from OCI [13] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Qilu Bank's 2024 revenue is projected at 12,485 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 4.56% [2] - The net profit for 2024 is forecasted to be 4,991 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17.89% [2] - Earnings per share (EPS) is expected to reach 1.06 yuan in 2024, with a net asset return rate of 14.02% [2] Asset and Liability Growth - Total assets are expected to grow by 14% year-on-year, with total loans increasing by 12.3% [10] - Total liabilities are projected to rise by 13.9%, with total deposits increasing by 10.4% [10] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio has decreased to 1.19%, continuing a downward trend [11] - The provision coverage ratio has increased to 322.38%, indicating a strong safety margin [11] Future Outlook - The bank's 2024-2026 net profit forecasts have been adjusted to 50 billion, 58 billion, and 66 billion yuan respectively [13] - The bank is focusing on county-level finance and technological innovation to enhance its competitive position [13]