森麒麟：全年业绩高增长，摩洛哥工厂放量可期

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the coming months [6]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve significant growth in its annual performance, with projected net profits for 2024 ranging from 2.1 to 2.36 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 53.45% to 72.45% [3]. - The demand for the company's products in overseas markets remains strong, particularly for high-quality and high-performance tires, which are in short supply [4]. - The new factory in Morocco is anticipated to ramp up production significantly in 2025, contributing to further growth in the company's performance [5]. Summary by Sections Market Data - As of February 5, 2025, the closing price of the stock is 24.80 yuan, with a market capitalization of 25.678 billion yuan [1]. Financial Data - Basic earnings per share (EPS) for the company is projected at 2.13 yuan, with a return on equity (ROE) of 13.48% [2]. - The company’s revenue is expected to grow from 8.446 billion yuan in 2024 to 11.240 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 33.1% [10]. Performance Forecast - The company’s net profit is forecasted to be 2.229 billion yuan in 2024, increasing to 2.602 billion yuan in 2025, with corresponding P/E ratios of 11.5 and 9.9 [6][10]. - The gross profit margin is expected to be 32.5% in 2024, slightly decreasing to 29.7% in 2025 [10]. Industry Insights - The domestic tire market is experiencing a continuous boom, with tire production and exports showing significant year-on-year growth [4]. - The report highlights the ongoing cost pressures from raw material price increases, which have seen substantial fluctuations throughout 2024 [4].