CYPC(600900) 中原证券·2025-02-18 12:23Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" investment rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase of 5% to 15% compared to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [30]. Core Insights - The company achieved a total operating revenue of 84.198 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.75%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 32.520 billion yuan, up 19.36% year-on-year [6]. - The company has a strong dividend policy, with a cash dividend of 0.21 yuan per share distributed in January 2025, totaling 5.138 billion yuan. The cumulative cash dividends since its listing in 2003 amount to 188 billion yuan, maintaining a payout ratio above 70% in recent years [7]. - The company’s performance in 2024 was bolstered by favorable water conditions, with total electricity generation from its six hydropower stations reaching 295.904 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 7.11% [8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a basic earnings per share of 1.3291 yuan for 2024, reflecting a 19.36% increase year-on-year. The weighted average return on equity was 15.72%, up 2.2 percentage points from the previous year [6]. - The company’s gross profit margin stood at 61.19%, and the net asset return rate was 13.32% [2]. Investment and Growth - The company’s investment income for the first three quarters of 2024 was 4.266 billion yuan, an increase of 11.41% year-on-year. The company is focusing on equity investments in the hydropower industry and exploring new investment models [11]. - The report forecasts net profits for 2024, 2025, and 2026 to be 32.520 billion yuan, 33.463 billion yuan, and 35.187 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding earnings per share of 1.33 yuan, 1.37 yuan, and 1.44 yuan [12]. Market Position and Industry Outlook - The hydropower industry is expected to benefit from favorable water conditions in 2024, with a national increase in hydropower generation of 10.7% year-on-year [10]. - The company is positioned as the largest hydropower listed company in the world, with a total installed capacity of 71.795 million kW, indicating strong operational stability and profitability [12].