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华润置地:历久弥新应时势,万象峥嵘筑标杆-20250221

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for China Resources Land (1109.HK) for the first time [6][9]. Core Views - China Resources Land is positioned as a leading urban investment and development operator with a comprehensive business model that integrates development, operational real estate, asset management, and light asset management [8][20]. - The company has shown resilience in revenue and profit growth, maintaining a strong financial structure with low financing costs [8][32]. - The company is expected to benefit from industry trends, with projected EPS for 2024-2026 at 3.83, 3.97, and 4.19 CNY respectively, corresponding to P/E ratios of 6.1, 5.8, and 5.5 [9][32]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - China Resources Land was established in 1994 and listed in Hong Kong in 1996, becoming a state-owned enterprise recognized for corporate governance in 2022 [16][18]. - The company operates in 85 cities across mainland China and Hong Kong, focusing on urban investment and development [16][18]. Business Model - The company has developed a "3+1" integrated business model, which includes development sales, operational real estate and asset management, and light asset management [20][22]. - As of 2024H1, the asset management scale reached 449.1 billion CNY, with a 5.1% increase from the previous year [22][23]. Financial Performance - In 2023, the company reported revenues of 251.1 billion CNY and a net profit of 31.4 billion CNY, reflecting year-on-year growth of 21.3% and 11.7% respectively [32][34]. - The gross profit margin for 2024H1 was 22.3%, with a net profit margin of 13% [35][41]. Sales and Market Position - The company focuses on first and second-tier cities, with sales amounting to 261.1 billion CNY in 2024, maintaining a market share of 2.7% [47][48]. - The average selling price of projects has increased by 28.1% from 2021 to 2024, outperforming the average increase of 23.8% among top 100 real estate companies [53]. Operational Strengths - The company has a strong competitive edge in product quality and land acquisition, with a well-structured land reserve of 47.71 million square meters as of 2024H1 [8][20]. - The operational real estate segment contributed significantly to the company's revenue, with rental income from shopping centers accounting for 82.7% of operational real estate revenue [26][29].