HHKJ(002296) 中原证券·2025-02-21 11:46Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of 5% to 15% relative to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [22]. Core Insights - The company is projected to achieve a net profit of 247 to 312 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 50% to 90%, with a non-recurring net profit growth of 111.16% to 169.51% [6]. - The company has a strong reputation in the national railway industry, with significant advantages in its comprehensive monitoring system products, particularly in the Henan region [9]. - The company is actively expanding into new business areas, including energy storage and smart microgrid technologies, which are expected to contribute to future growth [8][10]. - The railway fixed asset investment in 2024 is expected to reach a historical high of 850.6 billion yuan, with continued high investment in urban rail transit, indicating a robust market for the company's products [12]. Financial Performance - The company reported a gross margin of 54.09% in the first three quarters of 2024, an increase of 10.98 percentage points year-on-year, and a net profit margin of 28.34%, up by 3.51 percentage points [9]. - Revenue is expected to grow from 740 million yuan in 2023 to 962 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a growth rate of 30% [12]. - The projected net profit for 2024 is 275 million yuan, with a corresponding price-to-earnings ratio of 15.99 [12]. Market Position and Opportunities - The company is well-positioned as a supplier of rail transit equipment and integrated operation maintenance solutions, benefiting from its early entry into the market [12]. - The demand for equipment upgrades and renovations in the railway sector is anticipated to create additional market opportunities for the company [12]. - The integration of advanced technologies such as AI and big data into the company's product lines is expected to drive new business growth [9].