Investment Rating - The report maintains an "OUTPERFORM" rating for Standard Chartered PLC [2] Core Views - The report highlights that net interest income (NII) is under pressure in 2025, but cost control measures are expected to take effect [1][5] - The company reported a 14% year-on-year revenue increase in Q4 2024 on a constant currency basis, exceeding guidance [3][18] - A new $1.5 billion share buyback was announced, following the completion of a previous buyback [3][18] - The core Tier 1 capital ratio for Q4 2024 was stable at 14.2%, with risk-weighted assets declining by $2 billion [3][18] - The report projects net income growth of 9.6% and 11.6% for 2025 and 2026, respectively [4] Financial Summary - For 2024, net interest income is expected to be $10.4 billion, a 10% increase year-on-year, while non-interest income is projected to grow by 20% [5][21] - The report indicates that credit impairment losses for 2024 rose by 5% year-on-year to $557 million [8][21] - The cost-to-income ratio improved to 59% in 2024, a 4 percentage point year-on-year improvement [9][21] - The report anticipates a dividend yield increase from 1.4% in 2023 to 2.5% in 2025 [2][16] Valuation - The target price for Standard Chartered PLC is set at HK$129.57, based on a price-to-book ratio of 0.80 for 2025 [4] - The report provides a forecast for diluted EPS of $1.70 for 2025, with a P/E ratio of 9 [2][16]
渣打集团：25年净利息收入承压，成本管控将见成效-20250225