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石药集团:SYS6005授权达成,创新转型里程碑-20250225

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HK8.88,indicatingapotentialupsideof778.88, indicating a potential upside of 77% from the current price of HK5.01 [1][4]. Core Insights - The company has achieved a significant milestone in its innovative transformation with the exclusive licensing agreement for SYS6005, a targeted ADC drug, which covers key markets including the US, Canada, UK, Australia, and the EU. The agreement includes an upfront payment of US15millionandpotentialmilestonepaymentstotalinguptoUS15 million and potential milestone payments totaling up to US1.575 billion [1][2][7]. - SYS6005 targets ROR1, which is highly expressed in various malignancies, positioning it as a promising new "golden target" for cancer treatment. The drug's mechanism involves mediating non-canonical Wnt signaling pathways, particularly Wnt5a, which activates the NF-κB pathway in tumor cells [2][7]. - The company has rapidly advanced in the ADC development space, with nearly 10 ADC products having received clinical trial approvals, and several progressing to Phase III trials. The company also recently entered into a licensing agreement for SYS6002, targeting Nectin-4, with a total deal value close to US$700 million [3][6]. Financial Summary - The company's revenue is projected to grow from RMB 30,937 million in 2022 to RMB 32,296 million in 2025, with a slight decline expected in 2026 [6]. - Gross profit is expected to remain stable, with projections of RMB 22,256 million in 2022 and RMB 23,517 million in 2026 [6]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to increase from RMB 6,232 million in 2022 to RMB 6,909 million in 2026, reflecting a steady growth trajectory [6].