ZJJH(600160) 湘财证券·2025-02-26 03:28Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company is leveraging its energy resource advantages in the western region to strategically position itself in the fourth-generation refrigerants and fluoropolymer markets [5][6] - The company has announced a capital increase in Gansu Juhua New Materials Co., Ltd., raising its registered capital from 100 million to 6 billion yuan, with the company contributing 4.2 billion yuan for a 70% stake [4] - The high-performance fluorine-chlorine new materials integration project is expected to have an annual production capacity of 35,000 tons of tetrafluoropropene (R1234yf), 30,000 tons of polytetrafluoroethylene (PTFE), and other related facilities [4] Summary by Sections Company Performance - Over the past 12 months, the company's relative return was -9.8% over one month, 13.8% over three months, and 6.3% over twelve months, while absolute returns were -6.3%, 16.5%, and 20.1% respectively [2] Financial Forecast - The company forecasts revenue of 20.655 billion yuan in 2023, increasing to 32.825 billion yuan by 2026, with a compound annual growth rate of 8.8% [10] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to rise from 944 million yuan in 2023 to 3.932 billion yuan in 2026, reflecting a growth rate of 23.3% [10] - The gross margin is projected to improve from 13.2% in 2023 to 23.1% in 2026 [10] Strategic Positioning - The company is proactively increasing its production capacity for fourth-generation refrigerants (R1234yf) in anticipation of the phase-out of third-generation refrigerants (HFCs) due to environmental regulations [6] - The company is also strategically expanding its fluoropolymer production capacity during a cyclical downturn, which may provide competitive advantages as weaker players exit the market [6][7] Projected Benefits - The integration project in Gansu is expected to generate an average annual sales revenue of 8.211 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.068 billion yuan, with an investment payback period of 11.46 years [4] - The project is anticipated to enhance the company's competitive position by utilizing green electricity and reducing carbon emissions, aligning with global sustainability trends [7]