Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [3] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve steady revenue and profit growth in 2024, with an estimated annual revenue and net profit growth of around 20%, driven by a production volume of approximately 220 million pairs, representing a year-on-year increase of 10% to 20% [1][2] - In 2025, the company anticipates a 15% year-on-year growth in revenue and performance, supported by successful new customer collaborations and accelerated capacity expansion [1][2] - The company has established deep partnerships with major brands such as Nike, Adidas, and New Balance, which are expected to contribute significantly to revenue growth in the coming years [2][8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company’s revenue for 2024 is projected to be 24,004 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 19.3%. For 2025, revenue is expected to reach 27,567 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 14.8% [10][11] - The net profit for 2024 is estimated at 3,902 million yuan, with a growth rate of 21.9%, and for 2025, it is projected to be 4,525 million yuan, indicating a growth rate of 16.0% [10][11] Capacity Expansion - The company is actively expanding its production capacity, with plans to establish new factories in Vietnam and Indonesia, which will enhance its international presence and meet customer demand [7][10] - The production capacity is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around 15% from 2025 to 2026, aligning with the anticipated increase in orders [10][11] Market Position - The company is recognized as a leading global manufacturer of sports shoes, with a strong growth trajectory and increasing market share over the past few years [8] - The company’s gross margin improved by 2.5 percentage points to 27.8% in the first three quarters of 2024, indicating strong profitability [10][11]
华利集团：客户合作顺利推进，海外产能加速扩张，期待业绩稳健释放-20250228