Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating to the company, with a target price range of 16.71 to 17.69 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 9% to 20% from the current price of 14.56 HKD [6]. Core Insights - Yihai International is a leading player in the compound seasoning market in China, originating from the supply chain of Haidilao and has shown rapid revenue growth with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 50% from 2015 to 2019 [1][4]. - The company achieved a revenue of 6.148 billion CNY in 2023, with a slight year-on-year growth of 0.01%, and a net profit of 853 million CNY, reflecting a 14.92% increase [1][19]. - The compound seasoning market in China is still in a growth phase, with a penetration rate of approximately 26% and a per capita consumption of about 9 USD, which is lower compared to countries like the US and Japan [2][44]. Company Overview - Yihai International specializes in hot pot base, Chinese compound seasonings, and convenience foods, with a sales network covering most regions in China and expanding into Southeast Asia, North America, and Europe [14]. - The company has undergone several phases of development, starting from supplying Haidilao to establishing its own brand and expanding its product lines [14]. - The company has reduced its reliance on related parties, with third-party customer revenue increasing significantly, accounting for 67.3% of total revenue in 2023 [28][54]. Industry Analysis - The compound seasoning industry is experiencing robust growth, driven by the increasing complexity of flavor profiles and the demand for convenience in cooking [38][39]. - The market for compound seasonings is projected to grow, with the industry size reaching approximately 203.2 billion CNY in 2023, reflecting a CAGR of about 14% from 2011 to 2023 [41][42]. - The B-end market is expected to grow through chain operations, cost reduction, and scene expansion, while the C-end focuses on meeting convenience needs [48][49]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue forecasts for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are projected at 6.63 billion CNY, 7.26 billion CNY, and 7.91 billion CNY, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 7.8%, 9.5%, and 9.0% [5][4]. - The net profit for the same years is expected to be 779 million CNY, 889 million CNY, and 998 million CNY, with corresponding year-on-year changes of -8.6%, 14.1%, and 12.3% [5][4]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.75 CNY, 0.86 CNY, and 0.96 CNY for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [5][4].
颐海国际：全国复合调味品领先企业，组织管理灵活迭代-20250228