Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [9][13]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 2.44 billion RMB in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 7.0%, while net profit decreased by 12.0% to 791 million RMB [2]. - The proportion of grid parity projects increased to 61.6%, with a total power station capacity of 4.5 GW, enhancing cash flow stability [3]. - The company expects financing rates to continue declining, with the actual interest rate dropping to 3.5%, a decrease of 1.2 percentage points year-on-year [4]. Summary by Sections Performance Overview - Revenue for 2024 was 2.44 billion RMB, up 7.0% year-on-year, while net profit was 791 million RMB, down 12.0% [2]. - The company declared a final dividend of 0.027 HKD per share [2]. Operational Analysis - The share of grid parity projects rose by 8.8 percentage points year-on-year to 61.6%, with a stable cash flow from the acquisition of 860 MW solar power stations from its parent company [3]. - Total power generation increased by 17.0% year-on-year to 4.472 billion kWh, although gross margin decreased by 2.35 percentage points to 65.55% due to increased market transactions affecting settlement prices [3]. Financial Projections - Adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 are 854 million RMB and 937 million RMB, respectively, with an expected net profit of 1.024 billion RMB in 2027 [5]. - The projected dividend per share for 2025 is approximately 0.051 HKD, with current price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-book (P/B), and dividend yield ratios of 7.9x, 0.5x, and 6.4%, respectively [5]. Market Conditions - The "new and old separation" policy is expected to stabilize the revenue from existing power stations, allowing them to continue receiving guaranteed pricing until June 1, 2025 [4]. - The company has a cash and cash equivalents balance of 364 million RMB and a net debt of 5.58 billion RMB, significantly lower than the industry average [4].
信义能源：平价项目助现金流大增，2025年融资利率有望继续下行-20250302