Ningbo Solartron Technology (688299) 甬兴证券·2025-03-03 14:11Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company is a global leader in high polymer functional films, particularly in optical reflective films, with a market share of 62% in 2023 [17][24]. - The company has successfully entered higher technical barrier markets such as optical base films and lithium battery separators, indicating a strong growth trajectory [3][24]. - Continuous investment in R&D and the development of new products are expected to drive long-term benefits, especially with the rising demand for domestic alternatives [24]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company has been a pioneer in the reflective film market since 2012 and has achieved a leading position in the global market by breaking the technological monopoly of Japanese and Korean firms [17][24]. - The main products include reflective films, optical base films, separators, and other special functional films, with core technologies reaching international standards [18][24]. 2. Reflective Film Market - The reflective film market for liquid crystal displays is projected to grow from approximately 1.95 billion yuan in 2023 to about 2.48 billion yuan by 2027, with a CAGR of around 6.2% [2]. - The company has achieved a reflective rate exceeding 97% through innovative multi-phase bubble structures, maintaining a high gross margin of 36.56% in the first half of 2024 [2][4]. 3. Optical Base Film - The optical base film market in China is expected to grow at a rate of 6.2%, reaching nearly 60 billion yuan by 2028 [2]. - The company has seen a steady increase in the proportion of high-end products in its optical base film segment, with gross margins improving by 8.5 percentage points year-on-year [2]. 4. Lithium Battery Separators and CPI Films - The company has received small batch orders for its lithium battery separators, which are designed for various technological applications [3]. - The CPI film project is expected to enter mass production by 2025, indicating a new growth curve for the company [3]. 5. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 0.23 billion yuan, 1.01 billion yuan, and 1.92 billion yuan for the years 2024 to 2026, with corresponding EPS of 0.08 yuan, 0.35 yuan, and 0.66 yuan [4]. - The PE ratios for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are estimated to be 215.79x, 49.71x, and 26.25x respectively, reflecting the company's growth potential [4].