BYD(SZ:002594) Minsheng Securities·2025-03-04 23:51Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for BYD [6] Core Views - The report highlights BYD's successful H-share placement, raising approximately HKD 43.5 billion, which reflects global investor confidence in the company's growth prospects and the electric vehicle industry's trends [1] - BYD's overseas sales are projected to reach 800,000 units in 2025, driven by increasing demand in markets like Turkey, Brazil, and Europe, along with enhanced shipping capacity [2] - The launch of smart driving models is expected to accelerate the adoption of advanced driving technologies, with a significant portion of orders for these models already captured [3] - The financial forecast indicates strong revenue growth, with expected revenues of CNY 833.6 billion, CNY 1,017 billion, and CNY 1,214.3 billion for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [4] Summary by Sections H-Share Placement - BYD announced an H-share placement of 129.8 million shares at HKD 335.2 per share, raising approximately HKD 43.5 billion, with a discount of 7.8% from the previous closing price [1] - The funds will be used for R&D, overseas expansion, and general corporate purposes [1] Overseas Expansion - BYD's export volumes are expected to grow significantly, with 80,000 units projected for 2025, supported by increased demand and new shipping capabilities [2] - The company is actively establishing factories in Brazil, Uzbekistan, Hungary, Turkey, and Indonesia to enhance its global footprint [2][8] Smart Driving Technology - The introduction of smart driving models aims to democratize advanced driving features, with a notable order share of 25%-30% for these models [3] - High-end models like the Han L and Tang L are set to launch in March 2025, featuring advanced driving systems [3] Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are CNY 833.6 billion, CNY 1,017 billion, and CNY 1,214.3 billion respectively, with net profits expected to be CNY 39.9 billion, CNY 55.4 billion, and CNY 65.6 billion [4][11] - The report anticipates a steady increase in earnings per share (EPS) from CNY 13.71 in 2024 to CNY 22.55 in 2026 [4][11]