SF Holding(002352) 浙商证券·2025-03-06 00:23Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6] Core Views - The company demonstrated strong performance in January 2025, with express logistics revenue reaching 20.763 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.47%, and business volume growing by 15.95% to 1.33 billion parcels, leading the industry [1] - The supply chain and international business returned to a positive trajectory, with January revenue of 5.514 billion yuan, up 13.55% year-on-year, and an expected annual revenue of 70.354 billion yuan for 2024, reflecting a 17% increase [2] - The company is actively exploring regional contracting systems to optimize cost structures, which may enhance competitiveness while maintaining service quality [3] - Profit forecasts indicate stable profitability in core express business, with net profits projected at 10.056 billion yuan, 11.589 billion yuan, and 12.763 billion yuan for 2024-2026, corresponding to P/E ratios of 20.7, 18.0, and 16.3 respectively [4] Summary by Sections January Performance - The company achieved impressive results in January 2025, with express logistics revenue of 20.763 billion yuan and a business volume of 1.33 billion parcels, indicating robust growth despite seasonal challenges [1] Supply Chain and International Business - The supply chain and international business segment saw a revenue of 5.514 billion yuan in January, with a projected annual revenue of 70.354 billion yuan for 2024, benefiting from improved international shipping demand and pricing [2] Cost Structure Optimization - The company is implementing a regional contracting model to enhance cost efficiency while leveraging its brand and operational expertise to capture market share [3] Profitability Forecast - The company expects stable growth in net profits over the next three years, with significant contributions from its core express business and the newly operational Ezhou Airport [4]