CHANGAN AUTOMOBILE-B(000625) 东海证券·2025-03-06 18:20Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that Changan Automobile's wholesale sales in February 2025 reached 161,400 units, showing a year-on-year increase of 5.72% but a month-on-month decrease of 41.45%. Cumulative wholesale sales for January-February 2025 totaled 437,100 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.94% [2] - The report emphasizes the acceleration of the company's new energy vehicle (NEV) sales, which reached 39,700 units in February, marking a month-on-month increase of 68.4% but a year-on-year decrease of 41.25% [2] - The company plans to launch 13 new energy models in 2025, enhancing its global strategy and product offerings, with a focus on smart driving solutions and international expansion [6][7] Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In February 2025, the company's total wholesale sales, self-owned brands, and self-owned passenger vehicle sales all experienced month-on-month declines but year-on-year growth. The decline was primarily due to adjustments in production schedules post-Spring Festival and temporary market demand contraction [6] - The NEV penetration rate improved compared to January 2025, with significant contributions from new models set to launch in April 2025 [6] Financial Forecasts - The forecast for the company's main revenue is projected to grow from 151.3 billion yuan in 2023 to 203.9 billion yuan in 2026, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10.5% [3][7] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 5.2 billion yuan in 2024 to 9.7 billion yuan in 2026, reflecting a recovery after a projected dip in 2024 [3][7] Strategic Initiatives - The company is enhancing its collaboration with partners like Huawei and CATL, which is expected to bolster its electric and smart transformation efforts [6] - The report outlines the company's plans for international expansion, including the establishment of a factory in Southeast Asia and the introduction of its brands in various global markets [6][7]