ASMPT(00522) 华泰证券·2025-03-07 01:55Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for ASMPT with a target price of 69 HKD [6][4]. Core Views - The advanced packaging (AP) business is expected to drive revenue growth, with a projected market size of 4 billion USD by 2029, reflecting an 18% CAGR [3][4]. - Despite a decline in overall revenue for 2024, the AP segment showed a 23% year-on-year growth, becoming a key growth engine for the company [1][2]. Summary by Sections 4Q24 Performance Review - ASMPT reported 34.0 billion HKD in revenue for 4Q24, slightly exceeding market expectations, with a year-on-year decline of 10% for the full year [1]. - SEMI business revenue increased by 11% quarter-on-quarter, driven by sales growth in advanced packaging products [2]. - The TCB segment secured significant orders from leading HBM customers, marking a breakthrough in the logic and HBM applications [2]. 1Q25/2025 Outlook - The company anticipates 1Q25 revenue between 370-430 million USD, which is below market expectations [3]. - The demand for advanced packaging remains strong, with expectations for continued growth in this segment [3]. Investment Recommendations - The report projects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to increase by 75%, 58%, and 58% respectively, reaching 6.05 billion HKD in 2025 [4]. - The target price of 69 HKD is based on a 30x PE for 2026, considering the company's technological advantages in AI-driven advanced packaging [4].