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三一重能:2024年度业绩快报点评:2024年营收同比增长超两成,海外业务拓展持续推进-20250309

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][15][3] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 18.09 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 21%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 7% to 1.86 billion yuan, primarily due to a decline in wind turbine prices and impairment provisions [1][8] - The company has seen a steady increase in wind turbine sales, with a new installation capacity of 9.15 GW in 2024, up 23% year-on-year, capturing approximately 10.5% of the domestic market share [2][11] - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence, signing contracts for a total of 1,624 MW of wind turbine sales in India, which is expected to significantly boost its overseas order volume [2][12] - The company has also made progress in establishing overseas production capacity, including a wind equipment manufacturing base in Kazakhstan and expansion of its factory in India [2][14] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 18.09 billion yuan, a 21% increase year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.86 billion yuan, down 7% [1][8] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 9.02 billion yuan, a 21% increase year-on-year and a 138% increase quarter-on-quarter [1][8] - The net profit margin for 2024 was 10.3%, a decrease of 3.2 percentage points year-on-year [1][8] Market Position and Growth - The company’s cumulative wind turbine installation capacity exceeded 31.5 GW by the end of 2024, with a domestic market share of approximately 5.6% [2][11] - The company is focusing on enhancing its wind farm resource development, with over 2 GW of self-built wind farms currently under construction [11][12] Future Outlook - The profit forecast for 2025 and 2026 has been revised down to 2.33 billion yuan and 2.82 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 25% and 21% [3][15] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio (PE) of 14.7 for 2025 and 12.2 for 2026 [3][15]