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江南布衣:高ROE高股息筑基,设计师品牌韧性凸显-20250312
03306JNBY(03306) 广发证券·2025-03-12 03:52

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company [3]. Core Insights - The company is a leading designer brand in the fashion industry, characterized by high ROE and high dividend payouts, with a robust brand matrix that caters to various consumer demographics [8]. - The rise of "interest consumption" among younger consumers highlights the resilience of designer brands, as they are willing to pay a premium for personalized experiences [8]. - The company's core competitive advantages include design-led retail, a diverse brand matrix for comprehensive market coverage, and the integration of fan economy with digital strategies to enhance retail efficiency [8]. Financial Forecast - The company's revenue is projected to grow from RMB 4,465 million in 2023 to RMB 6,572 million by 2027, with a CAGR of approximately 9.3% [2]. - EBITDA is expected to increase from RMB 1,202 million in 2023 to RMB 1,491 million in 2027 [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to rise from RMB 621 million in 2023 to RMB 1,006 million in 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 11.8% in the final year [2]. - The EPS is projected to grow from RMB 1.20 in 2023 to RMB 1.94 in 2027, with a corresponding P/E ratio decreasing from 6.5 to 7.1 [2]. Company Overview - The company operates multiple brands, including the mature brand JNBY and several growth brands, providing a diverse product offering that appeals to various age groups [17]. - The company has a stable shareholding structure, with the founders holding a significant portion of shares, ensuring consistent management and strategic direction [20]. Industry Analysis - The trend of "interest consumption" is becoming increasingly significant, with younger consumers prioritizing quality and social attributes in their purchasing decisions [36]. - The report indicates that the new generation of consumers is willing to pay more for products that reflect their personal style and social identity [41].