NHPM(601882) 华鑫证券·2025-03-12 05:37Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking the first coverage of the stock [3][8]. Core Insights - The manufacturing sector in China is experiencing a recovery, with the PMI rising to 50.1% in October 2024, indicating expansion after a contraction period [3]. - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery in the machine tool industry, supported by favorable policies and market demand [3]. - The company has significantly increased its R&D investment, reaching 125 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, a 27.1% year-on-year increase, enhancing its competitive edge in high-end CNC machine tools [4]. - The company has demonstrated strong overseas expansion capabilities, achieving a CAGR of 62.3% in overseas revenue from 2017 to 2023, with a 76.06% year-on-year growth in 2023 [5]. Summary by Sections Industry Outlook - The machine tool industry is projected to recover, with a notable increase in new orders and backlogs for metal cutting machine tools, indicating structural differentiation within the industry [3]. R&D and Capacity Expansion - The company is focusing on enhancing its product structure and expanding its production capacity, particularly in Ningbo and Southern China, to support long-term growth [4]. Global Expansion - The company has established subsidiaries in Singapore and Thailand, and is set to open a subsidiary in Germany, further solidifying its global presence [5][7]. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 34.26 billion yuan, 39.17 billion yuan, and 44.95 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.03 yuan, 1.19 yuan, and 1.40 yuan [8][10].