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深南电路:2024财年稳健的业绩;在本地化方面升级为“买入”成为主要受益者。-20250314
002916SCC(002916) 招银国际·2025-03-14 10:23

Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating of the company to "Buy" with a target price of RMB 146.81, indicating a potential upside of 14.7% from the current price of RMB 128 [1][5]. Core Insights - The company reported a robust performance for the fiscal year 2024, with revenue increasing by 32.4% year-on-year to RMB 17.9 billion, surpassing estimates [1]. - Net profit also saw a significant rise of 34.3% year-on-year to RMB 1.9 billion, aligning with estimates but slightly below consensus [1]. - The gross profit margin improved to 24.8%, up from 23.4% in the previous fiscal year, driven by recovering demand despite the impact of new factory expansions [1]. - Revenue forecasts for fiscal years 2025 and 2026 have been raised by 15% and 21% respectively, reflecting higher utilization rates and increased capital expenditures from domestic cloud companies [1]. - The company is expected to benefit from the rapid penetration of high-end autonomous driving systems, which will drive growth in automotive PCB revenue [1]. Revenue and Profitability - PCB sales increased by 30% to RMB 10.5 billion, driven by strong demand from data centers and automotive sectors, despite a decline in the telecommunications industry [2]. - The gross profit margin for PCBs improved to 31.6% in fiscal year 2024, up from 26.6% in fiscal year 2023, reflecting higher capacity utilization and an optimized product mix [2]. - The PCBA segment also experienced a year-on-year growth of 33.2%, benefiting from strong performance in data center and automotive sales [2]. Financial Summary - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from RMB 17.9 billion in fiscal year 2024 to RMB 28.2 billion by fiscal year 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 28.5% during the period [4]. - Net profit is expected to increase from RMB 1.9 billion in fiscal year 2024 to RMB 3.7 billion by fiscal year 2027, with a CAGR of 28.5% [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from RMB 3.66 in fiscal year 2024 to RMB 7.24 by fiscal year 2027 [4]. Market Position and Outlook - The company is positioned to outperform expectations in the PCB market, leveraging its leading position and increased capacity in FC-BGA substrates [3]. - The report suggests that the company will benefit from the trend of localization within the industry, enhancing its competitive edge [3].