YTG(000975) 华安证券·2025-03-19 06:03Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating expected returns exceeding the market benchmark by more than 15% over the next 6-12 months [6]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 13.585 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 67.60%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.173 billion yuan, up 52.57% year-on-year [4]. - The domestic gold price rose from 481.2 yuan per gram at the beginning of the year to 615.02 yuan per gram by year-end, marking an increase of 27.81% [4]. - The company’s gold production is expected to increase, with a projected output of 8.04 tons in 2024, a 14.69% year-on-year growth, contributing to revenue of 4.423 billion yuan, up 34.07% [5]. - The company is accelerating its international expansion, having completed the acquisition of Osino, adding 127.2 tons of gold resources, with an expected annual production capacity of 5 tons post-production [5]. Financial Summary - The company forecasts revenues of 15.893 billion yuan in 2025, 17.559 billion yuan in 2026, and 19.527 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 17.0%, 10.5%, and 11.2% respectively [8]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 3.307 billion yuan in 2025, 4.079 billion yuan in 2026, and 4.977 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 52.2%, 23.3%, and 22.0% [8]. - The gross margin is expected to improve from 29.9% in 2024 to 43.4% by 2027 [8]. - The company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 19.64 in 2024 to 10.30 by 2027, indicating increasing profitability [8].