新点软件（688232）：智慧招采龙头，积极财政政策叠加政务AI推动公司长久发展

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [2] Core Viewpoints - The company is positioned as a leading provider of digital solutions for government and enterprise, focusing on smart procurement, smart governance, and digital construction. It aims to leverage AI and big data to enhance its service offerings and operational efficiency [5][7] - The company is expected to benefit from the government's proactive fiscal policies and debt management strategies, which are anticipated to improve local government spending capabilities and accelerate project implementation [7] - The company has a strong foothold in the AI governance sector, with multiple AI products and applications being deployed across various regions, indicating a growing market presence [7] Financial Data and Forecasts - Revenue and profit forecasts indicate a decline in revenue from 2023 to 2024, with expected revenues of 21.42 billion yuan in 2024, down 12.3% year-on-year, followed by a recovery in 2025 to 22.76 billion yuan, and further growth to 27.43 billion yuan in 2026 [5][10] - Net profit is projected to recover from 2.13 billion yuan in 2024 to 3.12 billion yuan in 2025, and reach 5.04 billion yuan in 2026, reflecting a significant growth trajectory [5][10] - The company’s gross margin is expected to improve gradually, reaching 66.0% by 2026, indicating enhanced operational efficiency [10] Business Segments - The smart procurement segment is forecasted to see a revenue decline of 14% in 2024, followed by a recovery of 8% in 2025 and a robust growth of 25% in 2026 [8] - The smart governance segment is also expected to decline by 12% in 2024, with a projected recovery of 5% in 2025 and 20% in 2026 [8] - The digital construction segment is anticipated to decline by 8.39% in 2024, with a recovery of 5% in 2025 and 10% in 2026 [8] Valuation - The company is assigned a dynamic PE ratio of 50-60 times for 2025, with a reasonable value range estimated between 47.28 and 56.74 yuan per share [7][10]