LI NING(02331) 华兴证券·2025-03-13 02:46Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Li Ning (2331 HK) with a target price of HK16.68 [1][3][5]. Core Views - The report forecasts a revenue growth of 2.2% and a decline in net profit of 3.3% for 2024, with expected revenues of RMB 28.2 billion and net profits of RMB 3.08 billion [2][5]. - The company is entering a stable development phase, with projected revenue growth of 3.9% in 2025, reaching RMB 29.33 billion, and a net profit increase of 6.4% to RMB 3.28 billion [2][3]. Financial Summary - Revenue and profit forecasts for Li Ning are as follows: - 2024E Revenue: RMB 28,217 million, a 2.2% increase YoY - 2024E Net Profit: RMB 3,083 million, a 3.3% decrease YoY - 2025E Revenue: RMB 29,326 million, a 3.9% increase YoY - 2025E Net Profit: RMB 3,281 million, a 6.4% increase YoY [4][6][7]. - The report anticipates a slight decline in gross margin in 2H24, with an overall gross margin of 49.4% for 2024, reflecting a 1.0 percentage point increase YoY [1][2]. Valuation - The report maintains the earnings forecast and target price, corresponding to a P/E ratio of 14 times for 2025 [3][5]. - The estimated P/E ratios for the upcoming years are as follows: - 2024E P/E: 13.5 - 2025E P/E: 12.1 - 2026E P/E: 11.4 [4][7].