Midea Group(000333) 银河证券·2025-03-05 12:22Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Midea Group [1] Core Views - Midea Group is transitioning from a leading home appliance manufacturer to a global leader in HVAC (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning) [3][7] - The company has been actively expanding its global presence through strategic acquisitions, including the recent purchase of Arbonia's climate division for €760 million (approximately ¥5.88 billion) [3][5] - Midea's HVAC business is expected to benefit from market opportunities in Europe, particularly with the shift from gas boilers to heat pumps [6][7] - The company is also focusing on enhancing its brand value and profitability in the Chinese market while facing competition from brands like Xiaomi and Aux [8] Company Overview - Midea Group's future prospects lie in the global home appliance, HVAC, and industrial technology sectors, with a history of small-scale acquisitions to fill global business gaps [5] - The formation of a new alliance, MBT Climate, with Arbonia and Clivet aims to provide comprehensive and efficient product solutions in Europe [5][6] - The company is experiencing rapid growth in its commercial HVAC business, particularly in precision central air conditioning for data centers [6] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, Midea Group reported revenue of ¥318.97 billion, a year-on-year increase of 9.6%, and a net profit of ¥31.70 billion, up 14.4% [9] - The company has shown strong profitability, with a net profit margin of 9.94% for the first three quarters, improving from the previous year [16] - Midea's revenue growth is supported by domestic consumption stimulus policies, particularly in the home appliance sector [24] Market Trends - The domestic home appliance market is benefiting from the "old-for-new" subsidy policy, with a projected retail sales growth of 12.3% in 2024 [24] - Midea's air conditioning sales are expected to continue growing, with domestic sales reaching 10.415 million units in 2024, a 4.57% increase year-on-year [31] - The central air conditioning market is facing challenges domestically but is seeing strong export growth, with a 39.8% increase in exports in 2024 [41] Future Projections - The report forecasts Midea Group's net profit to reach ¥38.65 billion in 2024, with an EPS of ¥5.05, and further growth expected in subsequent years [80]