新宝股份（002705）：2024年业绩快报点评：外销较优增长延续，内销仍有承压

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [7][4] Core Insights - The company is expected to maintain steady growth due to its strong export capabilities and recent management changes, which may revitalize governance [4][14] - Revenue projections for 2025 and 2026 are estimated at 18.28 billion and 19.93 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 8.7% and 9.0% respectively [4][14] - Net profit forecasts for the same years are 1.20 billion and 1.37 billion yuan, with year-on-year increases of 13.8% and 14.5% [4][14] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 16.82 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.84% [13] - Operating profit for 2024 was 1.33 billion yuan, up 1.39% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.05 billion yuan, reflecting a 7.47% increase [13] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw revenue of 4.13 billion yuan, a 6.15% increase year-on-year, but operating profit decreased by 11.01% [13] Export and Domestic Sales Analysis - Export sales showed strong growth throughout 2024, with year-on-year increases of 31%, 24%, 20%, and 14% in each quarter respectively [13] - Domestic sales faced challenges, with year-on-year declines of 15% and 11% in Q3 and Q4 [13][14] Management Changes - The company underwent significant management changes in January 2024, marking the first presidential change in 13 years, which is expected to usher in a new phase for the company [14] Valuation Metrics - The current valuation multiples for 2025 and 2026 are projected at 10.8 and 9.4 times earnings respectively [4][14]