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京东健康(06618):产品组合优化有望持续推动毛利率增长
06618JD HEALTH(06618) 华兴证券·2025-03-11 12:24

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for JD Health with a target price of HK55.17,representingapotentialupsideof5455.17, representing a potential upside of 54% from the current price of HK35.75 [2][15]. Core Insights - JD Health's revenue for 2024 is projected to be RMB 58.16 billion, reflecting an 8.6% year-on-year growth, with a significant profit increase of 94% to RMB 4.16 billion [6][9]. - The company is expected to continue optimizing its product mix, leading to a gross profit increase to RMB 13.31 billion, a 12.2% rise [6]. - The report highlights the robust growth in service revenue, with expectations of a 17% year-on-year increase from 2025 to 2027 [8]. Financial Summary - Revenue Projections: - 2025E: RMB 67.09 billion - 2026E: RMB 77.22 billion - 2027E: RMB 87.60 billion [9][12] - Gross Profit Projections: - 2025E: RMB 15.86 billion - 2026E: RMB 18.25 billion - 2027E: RMB 20.79 billion [9][12] - Net Profit Projections: - 2025E: RMB 4.53 billion - 2026E: RMB 5.34 billion - 2027E: RMB 6.30 billion [9][12] - Earnings Per Share (EPS): - 2025E: RMB 1.41 - 2026E: RMB 1.67 - 2027E: RMB 1.97 [9][12] Market Comparison - JD Health's target price corresponds to a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 2.4 times for 2025, which is below the industry average of 3.1 times for comparable internet healthcare platforms [15][18].