APELOA(SZ:000739) Soochow Securities·2025-03-12 08:26Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The CDMO segment is expected to become a new growth driver despite short-term pressure on the raw materials business. The CDMO segment is projected to achieve revenue of 1.884 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 6.05%, with a gross profit of 773 million yuan and a gross margin of 41.06% [3] - The pharmaceutical segment is experiencing rapid gross profit growth due to a differentiated competitive strategy, with expected revenue of 1.256 billion yuan in 2024, an increase of 0.51%, and a gross profit of 764 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 15.02% [3] - The overall revenue for 2024 is projected at 12.022 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.77%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 1.031 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.29% [9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported total revenue of 12.022 billion yuan for 2024, with a net profit of 1.031 billion yuan, reflecting a decrease of 2.29% year-on-year. The fourth quarter alone saw revenue of 2.732 billion yuan, down 8.15%, and a net profit of 161 million yuan, down 20.85% [9] - The gross margin is expected to improve as the revenue share from the raw materials business declines and the shares from the CDMO and pharmaceutical segments increase [9] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue is forecasted to grow to 13.272 billion yuan in 2025, 14.816 billion yuan in 2026, and 16.624 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 1.175 billion yuan, 1.392 billion yuan, and 1.693 billion yuan respectively [1][10] - The report anticipates a significant increase in the number of projects in the CDMO segment, with 1,601 projects quoted in 2024, a 77% increase, and 996 ongoing projects, a 35% increase [3] Valuation Metrics - The current market capitalization corresponds to a P/E ratio of 17.62 for 2024, decreasing to 10.73 by 2027 [1][10] - The report highlights that the company is expected to maintain a competitive edge through continuous product innovation and improvements in production efficiency [3]